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Looks Like the ‘Haters and Losers’ May Be Wrong About Trump Again

If the 2024 election were held today, former President Donald Trump would be the GOP’s best shot at beating President Joe Biden, according to a new poll.

SO WHAT

Trump skeptics who say the Republican Party needs a more conventional nominee to win in 2024 may be wrong again.

THE POLL

The Politico/Morning Consult poll, released Wednesday, found that Trump would effectively tie Biden in a head-to-head matchup — while other likely GOP nominees would lose to the president.

A generic Republican would blow-out Biden, 46% to 37%, per the poll.

  • As for the GOP primary, 49% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters chose Trump as their preferred nominee, once again confirming the former president’s grip on his party.
  • Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis was a distant second (14%), followed closely by Trump’s former Vice President Mike Pence (13%).
  • If Trump didn’t run, the theoretical race would turn into a dead heat between Donald Trump Jr. (24%) and DeSantis (25%), the poll found.

Other polling has also shown Trump and Biden neck and neck — with the RealClearPolitics average giving the Republican a nearly 5-point advantage.

  • Biden has said he will run again on 2024, and Trump has strongly hinted he will, too.
  • In real life, of course, the Electoral College and not the popular vote decides who becomes president.

“THE HATERS AND THE LOSERS”

Both liberals and anti-Trump conservatives — aka “the haters and losers” — have suggested that DeSantis has broader appeal than Trump and so would be a better general election candidate for the GOP.

  • “Trump energizes intense opposition like no one else, uniting otherwise divided Democrats while alienating a faction of conservatives and independents who normally vote Republican,” The Atlantic’s Conor Friedersdorf recently argued.
  • But Trump rose to power by defying the political establishment’s certainties about how to make the GOP more “inclusive.”
  • Even in his 2020 loss, Trump made inroads with black and Latino voters and helped to rebrand the GOP as the party of the working class.

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