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Dems Hoped Roe Controversy Would Help Them in Midterms. This Poll Shows They Got It Completely Backwards.

Democrats who were counting on the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade to catalyze their base in this year’s midterm elections appear to have badly miscalculated, according to a new poll.

SO WHAT

Are liberals too demoralized to vote?

THE NUMBERS

The Washington Post-Schar School poll, released Friday, found that Americans who see the end of Roe as a “major loss of rights for women” are much less committed to voting in the midterms than are those who don’t think women are worse off.

Most Americans (65%) think the Supreme Court ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization was bad for women, but the minority (35%) who disagree are 18 points more likely to be “absolutely certain” they’ll cast a ballot in November, per the poll.

  • Even among women under 40, the demographic most impacted by abortion restrictions, only 1 in 3 say they’ll definitely vote.

THE BLACK PILL

“This fall, Roe is on the ballot,” President Biden said in a June 24 White House speech just hours after the Dobbs decision was released.

  • But neither Biden’s exhortations nor the hopes of Democratic Party strategists have panned out so far.
  • “Is the discontent with Democratic Party leadership and policies generally so deep that those most affected by the court decision … still plan to sit out this election?” Mark Rozell, a political scientist at George Mason University, commented on the poll to the Post. “I struggle to wrap my head around this disconnect.”

A number of previous polls have also indicated that Dobbs isn’t moving the electoral needle much ahead of the midterms.

  • A USA Today/Suffolk poll in June found 66% of voters name the economy as the most important election, compared to just 15% who say abortion.

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