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This Poll Shows Democrats Really Need to Start Worrying About Whether Biden Should Run in 2024

A sizable majority of Americans say President Biden should not seek reelection, including many Democrats, according to a new poll.

SO WHAT

Concerns around Biden’s age and mental acuity are only growing louder – and the Democrats can’t ignore them.

WHAT HAPPENED

Nearly two-thirds, 64%, of Americans think Biden should sit out the 2024 presidential election, compared to just 21% who think he should run, according to a poll of 1,541 U.S. adults by Yahoo/YouGov conducted June 10-13.

Perhaps even more strikingly, only 43% of Democrats think Biden should seek a second term, compared to 36% who said otherwise.

  • 55% of all respondents oppose Donald Trump running again, but only 25% of Republicans think the same.
  • Trump also came out ahead in a hypothetical 2024 matchup with Biden, 42% to 39%.
  • Trump did better among men, 45% to 37%, while Biden held a small lead with women voters, 40% to 39%.

THE BIG PICTURE

The poll’s results reflect a growing sense of unease over Biden’s fitness for the presidency – a worry on display in the liberal media and within his own party.

  • In an interview with Karine Jean-Pierre last week, CNN host Don Lemon asked the White House press secretary if her boss has “the stamina, mentally and physically, do you think, to continue on, even after 2024?”
  • Also last week, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., made headlines by declining to endorse Biden’s reelection bid during a CNN appearance.
  • Democrat strategist David Axelrod broached the age issue in a New York Times interview published earlier this month, cautioning, “the stark reality is the president would be closer to 90 than 80 at the end of a second term, and that would be a major issue.”

In an essay published Thursday by The Atlantic, titled “Why Biden Shouldn’t Run in 2024,” journalist Mark Leibovich echoed the sentiments of many Democrats: “Yes, he’s fit to be president right now. But he’s too old for the next election.”

AS IF IT WASN’T LOOKING BAD ENOUGH FOR THE DEMOCRATS

The mounting questions about Biden’s fitness for office come at a time when his party’s electoral prospects already appear grim.

  • Democratic politicians and strategists have been freaking out about a potential blowout for their party in the 2022 midterms since at least November 2021, when the GOP notched surprise victories in Virginia and elsewhere.
  • Gallup poll released in January contained even more depressing news: over the course of last year, U.S. adults went from identifying with the Democrats by 9 points to identifying with the GOP by 5 points.
  • The shift in party affiliation was the biggest in one calendar year for Gallup’s 30 years of tracking.

And it coincided with Biden’s plummeting approval ratings: the less popular the president became, the more steam Republicans gained.

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