A number of recent polls have shown that U.S. Hispanics, long viewed as default Democratic voters, are actually closer to being socially conservative Republicans.
It looks like demographics aren’t destiny after all.
- Just look at these data points:
PATRIOTISM: 70% of Latinos agree with the statement, “America is the greatest country in the world,” according to an Echelon Insights survey released in June.
RACE: Asked whether “Racism is built into our society, including into its policies and institutions vs. Racism comes from individuals who hold racist views, not from our society and institutions,” 58% of Hispanics chose the individual definition, per the Echelon survey.
- Compare that to the 94% of strong progressives who said racism is baked into America’s society and insitutions.
GENDER IDEOLOGY: 64% of Hispanics believe transgender athletes should only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender, according to the Echelon survey.
LAW ENFORCEMENT: 50% of Hispanics support fully funding police departments, compared to 41% who say we need to reallocate funding from police to social services, per Echelon.
SOCIAL MOBILITY: By a margin of 55% to 39%, Hispanic voters agree with the statement: “Most people who want to get ahead can make it if they’re willing to work hard,” according to Echelon.
IMMIGRATION: A poll conducted by Axios-Ipsos last month found that a majority of Latinos strongly supported or somewhat supported Title 42, a Trump-era COVID-19 policy that allows the government to turn away migrants in the name of public health.
- Meanwhile, a survey released by the Traflagar Group in April found 56% of Hispanic likely voters support closing the border until the crisis there is over.
In an analysis published Thursday, Axios’ Josh Kraushaar called shifts in the demographics between the two parties “arguably the biggest political story of our time.”
- The modern GOP’s emergence as a more working class and multiracial party, combined with Democrats “becoming more elite and a little more white,” could signal a major electoral boon for Republicans, Kraushaar wrote.
- “Democrats’ hopes for retaining power rest on nonwhite voters remaining a reliable part of the party’s coalition. Democrats’ theory of the case collapses if Republicans make even incremental gains with those voters.”
- Some commentators, such as Giancarlo Sopo, who was the Trump campaign’s director of rapid response for Spanish media, have suggested Democrats have no one but themselves to blame for the realignment.
“[Latinos are] aspirational people. We want to work hard. We came to this country to succeed. Also, I think during that same time, it would be fair to say that the Democratic Party’s overly educated or miseducated, depending how you look at it, you know, elites have taken over the party, and it’s difficult to find groups that are more different than a woke White Democrat and your average Hispanic,” Sopo, a descendant of Cuban exiles, told Fox News Digital this week.
Ruy Teixeira, a progressive scholar who literally wrote the book on how America’s shifting demographics could virtually enshrine Democrats’ electoral dominance, is leaving the left-leaning Center for American Progress to join the center-right American Enterprise Institute, Politico reported Friday.
- Teixeira cited the single-minded focus on identity issues as a factor in his decision to move away from traditionally liberal think tanks.
- “I would say that anybody who has a fundamentally class-oriented perspective, who thinks that’s a more important lens and doesn’t assume that any disparity is automatically a lens of racism or sexism or what have you … I think that perspective is not congenial in most left institutions,” he told Politico.